UFC 267 Cheat Sheet: DraftKings MMA DFS Picks, Values, Bet Odds For October 30
UFC 267 takes place on Saturday and the event will be held at the Etihad Arena on Yas Island. The card has an earlier than normal start time, with a start time listed at 2:00 p.m. ET for the main card. Yas Island is more commonly known as âFight Islandâ and several events took place there during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Due to the earlier start time, DraftKings MMA fantasy contests will lock to 10:30 a.m.ET, so be aware of early locking.
Jan Blachowicz defends the UFC light heavyweight title against Glover Teixeira in the main event. Blachowicz has just won a successful title defense against UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya in a “Champion vs. Champion” fight. Teixeira has title fight experience and previously fought for the title in 2014.
The main co-event saw a few shuffles. Aljamain Sterling was originally scheduled to defend the UFC bantamweight title against Petr Yan. Sterling and Yan fought for the title in March 2021, but the fight ended in controversy after Yan was disqualified due to an illegal strike. However, Sterling was forced to retire from UFC 267, and the UFC booked an interim bantamweight title fight between Yan and Cory Sandhagen instead.
Below we take a look at the DraftKings Slate UFC and make some fantastic MMA picks and bets to consider DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Jan Blachowicz (-300) vs. Glover Teixeira (+235)
- Petr Yan (-235) vs. Cory Sandhagen (+190)
- Islam Makhachev (-650) vs. Dan Hooker (+460)
- Alexander Volkov (-300) against Marcin Tybura (+235)
- Khamzat Chimaev (-590) against Li Jingliang (+425)
For the complete list of available Paris UFC, download the DraftKings Sportsbook app or consult the DraftKings Sportsbook UFC page.
DraftKings hosts a great UFC 267 fantastic MMA tournament which pays out $ 500,000 in total prizes, including $ 100,000 for first place. Define your DraftKings the fantastic MMA queues here: $ 500,000 UFC 267 Special [$100K to 1st].
Amanda Ribas ($ 8,200)
Ribas was on the fast track to stardom before hitting a speed bump in her most recent fight, losing via TKO to Marina Rodriguez. At the time of that fight, Ribas’ loss was seen as a big upset, but Rodriguez has continued to impress ever since with quality wins over Michelle Waterson and Mackenzie Dern.
Ribas has the skills and charisma to bounce back from his loss and ultimately become a UFC star. Ribas is very well balanced – she is a BJJ black belt, judo black belt and above all has shown a good shot. In his strike, Ribas has a good jab, the ability to compose combinations and has good distance management, attacking and exiting before most of his opponents can land cleanly. The exception was Rodriguez, who did some dangerous kickboxing and caught Ribas.
Despite TKO’s loss to Rodriguez, Ribas’s striking measures are solid. 71% of Ribas opponents’ important strike attempts failed to land, which is great defense on a rate basis. Ribas also barely absorbs the total number of strikes, absorbing around 1.8 significant strikes per minute, a very low number. Ribas’s offensive strike output far exceeded the strikes she absorbed, as she landed about four important strikes per minute, a quality number. The fact that Ribas landed much bigger strikes than she absorbed reflects her striking skills very well.
Ribas also has excellent grappling. His black belt in BJJ gives him the ability to end fights with submissions, and his black belt in judo helps him play offensive grappling. Below is a video of Ribas throwing BJJ magician Mackenzie Dern with a judo throw in their fight in October 2019 to score a takedown:
Ribas also showed a good defensive fight and was difficult to eliminate, stopping 85% of his opponents’ takedown attempts in his four UFC fights, an excellent rate.
Ribas’s opponent this time around is Virna Jandiroba, who isn’t as dangerous as a striker as Marina Rodriguez. Jandiroba is primarily a grappler, and 13 of his 17 wins are by submission. Given Ribas’ strong wrestling skills and how she was able to stay safe from harm against Mackenzie Dern, Ribas is in a good position to bounce back from her loss to Rodriguez and win this fight.
DraftKings Sportsbook bet to consider: Amanda Ribas moneyline (-160)
DraftKings Favorite Sportsbook to Build Around: Khamzat Chimaev ($ 9,500)
Chimaev took the UFC by storm, registering three quick finishes in his first three fights. Chimaev’s fantastic score was elite thanks to extremely high volume. Chimaev had about nine important strikes per minute and converted about 4.5 eliminations every 15 minutes in his three UFC fights, which allowed him to average a record 124. DraftKings Fantasy points (DKFP) per fight.
This type of high activity makes Chimaev a fantastic elite buildable game, and given that he’s a big favorite of -590 on the silver line, he’s also incredibly safe. Chimaev faces Li Jingliang, who has stopped only 59% of opponent’s takedown attempts, and Chimaev should have no problem leading this fight on the ground where he can throw a high punch volume from first position. and chase a finish. Chimaev is actively seeking to finish the fight and is not content with winning a decisive victory. DraftKings Sportsbook to -175 can be a way to lower the silver line from a hefty -590.
DraftKings Sportsbook bet to consider: Khamzat Chimaev will win by KO, submission or DQ (-175)
Islam Makhachev ($ 9,600)
Makhachev is the biggest favorite on the card with a big silver line of -650. Makhachev is a rising star in the lightweight division and has been compared to his training partner Khabib Nurmagomedov due to a similar fighting style. Makhachev is an excellent wrestler with an elite game that allows him to drag his opponents into the deep end and control them for a decisive victory or drown them with a finish. Makhachev recorded at least eight minutes of control time in each of his last two fights and ended both of those fights with submissions. Makhachev has significant withdrawal volume, averaging more than three withdrawals every 15 minutes, and his withdrawal volume plus control time allowed him to land the 100. DraftKings fantasy point (DKFP) in five of his last seven fights.
Because Makhachev is so good at choking his opponents, he barely absorbs strikes, absorbing less than a significant strike per minute, which is amazing.
Makhachev faces Dan Hooker, who takes this fight short after fighting a month ago at UFC 266. Hooker is a long kickboxer and has a punching chance – Makhachev has already been knocked out – but he Hooker is unlikely to have the defensive struggle to fend off Makhachev for 15 minutes. Four of Hooker’s six losses in the UFC are by decision, and Makhachev will be in a good position to win this fight via strikeouts and control time.
DraftKings Sportsbook bet to consider: Islam Makhachev will win by decision (-125)
Petr Yan ($ 8,800) vs. Cory Sandhagen ($ 7,400)
Yan is the legitimate favorite in this title fight, with a -235 silver line. Yan’s strike defense is excellent, his offense is powerful, and his only loss in the UFC was due to an illegal knee strike in the fourth round of a fight he was winning. That said, Sandhagen is very tall for the division at 5’11 and will have a substantial length advantage which could create some problems. Despite losing a close decision in his last fight, Sandhagen edged out former champion TJ Dillashaw and many observers believed he should have taken the victory.
Something remarkable about DraftKings DFS contests is that it is a five-round fight, which potentially creates an extra 10 minutes to generate a fantastic score. Yan and Sandhagen are high volume fighters as well, so whoever wins this fight could rack up a lot of fantasy points. Yan and Sandhagen both hit around six big hits per minute, which is a lot of punching volume. Yan also frequently mixes outs, averaging around two outs every 15 minutes, further boosting his fantasy. Sandhagen’s takedown defense on a rate basis is not great, stopping 65% of opponent’s takedown attempts. Yan peaked at 154 DKFP which is the type of advantage he carries in this fight.
If Yan fights to his potential, he could find himself at the end of a high-volume decision win with some big fantasy points racked up over five rounds. Sandhagen was tough to finish and has only been completed once in his career – a loss to Aljamain Sterling. With Sanhagen being difficult to finish, it increases the chances of this fight going the distance, which can be a good thing for high volume fighters in a five round fight.
DraftKings Sportsbook bet to consider: Petr Yan will win by decision (+150)
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