MLB Cheat: DraftKings Fantasy Baseball DFS Selections, Predictions, Betting Odds For September 28
The last Tuesday of the regular season is upon us, so soak up as much of this 13-game roster as you can. Let’s get right to the point, as we wrap up this MLB cheat sheet for the past week!
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DraftKings Sportsbook Play Notes
Biggest Moneyline Favorite
Note: This section highlights the pitcher whose team is the biggest favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Logan Webb, $ 8,900, Giants of San Francisco (-295) against Arizona Diamondbacks (+230) – Webb has been a really solid addition to the Giants’ rotation and is having a great second half of the season. In 84 1/3 innings, he produced a wOBA of .266, an FIP of 2.61, an HR / 9 of 0.53 and a K / 9 of 9.1. Now he has the luxury of facing one of the league’s worst offenses against the Diamondbacks right-hangers at home. Against the right-handed, this club of D-Backs could only produce a .291 wOBA, a .134 ISO and a 78 wRC +. Webb has been almost untouchable at home this season, which makes this start all the more appealing. While his numbers on the road are still good, his .248 wOBA and 2.50 FIP at home are by far the best spread he has. With a very affordable salary of $ 8,900, Webb should be someone you are looking to fit into your training tonight.
Highest Projected Total
Washington Nationals (+120; 5.5 races) to Colorado Rockies (-140; 6.5 passes) 12 passes – Fading the top at Coors Field has become a hobby of mine as it keeps landing on the bottom. Last night it was the fourth game in a row in a row for Coors, which overall happened 57.1% of the time. Tonight is an interesting place though, as the Rockies are favored. When favored at home, the Rockies have been a money-making machine from the start, going 24-7 this season. As for the ending, however, it only started 13-18 when the Rockies are the home favorites. That being said, Patrick Corbin ($ 7,600) takes the mound so runs might be in the forecast.
Yes Corbin is having a great start against the Reds in which he knocked them out to 6 2??3 sleeves. However, he is still in the midst of a horrific second half of the season that saw him post an FIP of 5.79 in 72 1/3 innings. The Rockies are hitting lefties at home very well, with a league leading .365 wOBA, .197 ISO and 102 wRC + in those clashes. Corbin has faced the Rockies once this season and was quickly scoring for six runs on 10 hits, including two homers in just four innings of âworkâ. I’m not convinced we have more than 12 points in this game, but the Rockies’ team’s 6.5 point total, while very high, caught my eye.
The two Boston Red Sox To Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins To New York food might be delayed to start due to rain, but should clear shortly thereafter. I would still target both games unless the forecast changes this afternoon.
Shares to get started
Pitchers vs. left-handed hitters
Worse against LHB, wOBA, FIP
Luke Weaver, .352, 6.04
Jameson Taillon, .318, 5.26
Brady Singer, 0.348, 4.80
Best vs LHB, wOBA, FIP
Zack Wheeler, .263, 2.60
Patrick Corbin, 0.266, 2.81
Hyun Jin Ryu, .298, 2.88
Pitchers vs. right-handed hitters
Worse vs RHB, wOBA, FIP
Patrick Corbin, .388, 6.27
Charlie Barnes, .369, 5.70
Bruce Zimmermann, .352, 5.40
Best vs RHB, wOBA, FIP
Logan Webb, .257, 2.51
Zack Wheeler, 0.254, 2.64
Chris Bassitt, 0.280, 2.75
Pitcher to build around
Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, $ 8,900 – As stated earlier in this article, I think this is a great place for Webb against the Diamondbacks. Not only is his salary extremely affordable, but I see quite a few red flags with some of the names that are more expensive than him tonight. I would love to ride with it Brandon Woodruff ($ 10,300) tonight, but he faces a Cardinals team that has won 16 straight games. It has to end at some point, but I’m not sure I want to try my luck against a team that has everything right. Zack Wheeler ($ 10,500) played well against the Braves, but he’s so expensive he’s not worth the price of admission. He’s only lost 3 times the value in two of his last 10 starts, against the Brewers and Mets. Webb at his salary feels like the perfect fit.
Stud hitter to pay
Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers, $ 4,700 – After a slow start to IL, Buxton is back as we know and expect. In his last five games, Buxton is averaging 11.6 DKFP, which includes two home runs, two doubles, three RBIs and a stolen base. I love his match tonight against Tyler Alexandre ($ 5,900) who has very bad numbers against the righties. Over the season, Alexander allowed a wOBA .349, a FIP 4.78, a 1.6 HR / 9 and only a 7.2 K / 9. Meanwhile, Buxton crushed the left-handed pitch to the tune of a wOBA .393, ISO .278, and wRC + 152. If Buxton keeps hitting like that, he won’t be under $ 5,000 anymore.
Save big by writing
CJ Cron, Colorado Rockies v Washington Nationals, $ 3,600 – It’s a great way to get inexpensive exposure to someone on a team with a tally of 6.5 races. I’m honestly shocked at how low Cron’s salary is, despite averaging DKFP 9.8 in his last 10 games. During that span, he scored six doubles, one homerun, seven RBIs and seven runs. We know the kind of power he has, especially against lefties. How good has Cron been at home against lefties? How about a .526 wOBA, an ISO .455 and a 220 wRC +. Yeah, Cron is a lock on first base tonight.
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