MLB Cheat: DraftKings Fantasy Baseball DFS Selections, Predictions, Betting Odds For September 21
Tuesday is a smaller roster than usual, as each team is normally represented. Instead, we have 11 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s see how to make money tonight.
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DraftKings Sportsbook Play Notes
Biggest Moneyline Favorite
Note: This section highlights the pitcher whose team is the biggest favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jordan Montgomery, $ 8,300, New York Yankees (-265) against Texas Rangers (+215) – As we saw last night, the Yankees are the night’s biggest favorites as they continue their streak against the Rangers. It wasn’t an easy win last night, after Nestor Cortes allowed three runs on five hits in just 4 1??3 innings, but the Yankees were able to hold on. Montgomery comes into this game following a stellar performance against the Orioles in which he struck out 12 of 5 batters 2??3 sleeves. Those strikeouts were a new season high for him, surpassing an 11-game precedent he had against the White Sox.
As we talked about last night, Rangers vs. lefties just isn’t a game that works for them. They have some of the league’s worst offensive numbers against lefties, including a wOBA of .282 (30th), ISO of .123 (30th), 79 wRC + (30th), and K% of 21.5% (25th). ). Montgomery also has good numbers on the road, posting an FIP of 3.81, a wOBA of 0.307 and only an HR / 9 of 1.08. With the small numbers the Rangers have against lefties, Montgomery should be one of the more popular options on this slate, especially with an affordable price tag of $ 8,300.
Highest Projected Total
Los Angeles Dodgers (-210; 6.5 races) to Colorado Rockies (+175; 4.5 races) 11 races – The Dodgers travel to Coors Field where the game’s total overruns are lost. Coors Field wasn’t a place to see the surge, as he only did it 44.3% of the time, which is one of the lowest in the league. For reference, Chase Field saw the pass 61 percent of the time, which leads the league. With Julio Urias ($ 9,900) taking the mound for the Dodgers, I most definitely like the underside in this game.
Urias continues to dominate on the mound and has not allowed more than two points in a start since July 16. Guys, July 16th. Literally over two months ago, that was the last time he allowed more than two runs in a start. Now, of course, it happened to COORS FIELD against the Rockies, but Urias has simply ended every offense since. In fact, since that start Urias has pitched 56 1/3 innings and allowed just nine earned runs, has an FIP of 2.42 and a wOBA of .232. These aren’t numbers you want to see if you’re looking to pick up the slack. The Rockies’ team total is only set at 4.5 points in this one and I’d also be inclined to take the least on that as well. The Dodgers’ box was formidable during the month of September, posting an FIP of 4.29, an HR / 9 of 1.1 and blocking 84.1% of the base runners.
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Pitchers vs. left-handed hitters
Worse against LHB, wOBA, FIP
Griffin Jax, .362, 6.27
Luke Weaver, 0.353, 5.83
Alec Mills, .389, 5.32
Best vs LHB, wOBA, FIP
Drew Rasmussen, .271, 2.43
Jordan Montgomery, .241, 2.79
Kevin Gausman, 0.271, 2.87
Pitchers vs. right-handed hitters
Worse vs RHB, wOBA, FIP
Griffin Jax, 0.363, 6.41
Marco Gonzales, .361, 5.84
Jake Woodford, 0.288, 4.75
Best vs RHB, wOBA, FIP
Kevin Gausman, .248, 2.89
Marcus Stroman, 0.274, 2.99
Brandon Woodruff, .268, 3.00
Pitcher to build around
Jordan Montgomery, New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers, $ 8,300 – As previously stated, this is a great spot for Montgomery against a club that just can’t hit lefties. His salary of $ 8,300 makes him all the more appealing when you put him next to this game. Although I don’t think he will come out and post a double-digit strikeout total like he did in his last start, but this Rangers team is not a big threat.
Stud hitter to pay
Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves To Arizona Diamondbacks, $ 5,400 – I love this game against the Braves Luke Weaver ($ 7,800). On this list, Weaver has some of the worst numbers against lefties, posting an FIP of 5.83, a wOBA of 0.353, and an HR / 9 of 2.1. Weaver has missed a ton of time this year and recently returned to the rotation, where he got a 4.03 FIP, a 1.2 HR / 9 and only a 6.6 K / 9 over 15 innings this month. . Meanwhile, Freeman had a huge September with a wOBA .412, ISO .209, and 157 wRC +.
Save big by writing
Matt Duffy, Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins, $ 2,000 – Do you know who is swinging at Hot Bat right now? Matt Duffy. He’s having a crazy September. In 14 games this month, he posted a wOBA of .382, an ISO of .264 (!) And a wRC + of 139. He has four homers, two doubles and 11 RBIs this month, all of which have surpassed everything he’s done this season. He’s also seen top Cubs games recently, which would drive his $ 2,000 salary even crazier. Stand up against Griffin Jax ($ 6,400), which literally has the worst slits against both sides of the plate, that’s a no-brainer.
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