NFL Cheat: DraftKings Fantasy Football DFS Pick, Predictions, Week 17 Betting Odds


Normally I’d be like, YO THIS IS THE LAST WEEK OF THE NFL WHATTTTTT SEASON!?!?

But it’s not. Week 18 is one thing and that means week 17 is just another week. So let’s talk about it.

You must follow me on Twitter, otherwise you are not authorized to read this article. @ SBuchanan24.


New England Patriots (-16; -1125) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+700)

Betting trends:
Jaguars 2021 road record: 0-7
2021 Jaguars road record when the underdogs: 0-6
2021 Jaguars ATS Record: 4-11
Jaguars ATS record 2021 when the underdogs: 2-4

2021 Patriots home record: 3-5
2021 Patriots home record as favorites: 3-3
2021 Patriots ATS Record: 9-6
2021 Patriots ATS record as favorites: 6-4

The broadcast on this game is pretty ridiculous. Do you honestly look at this line and want to bet on the Patriots? Admittedly, the Patriots did very well at this ATS location as the favorites, going 6-4 and averaging 9.1 points. That being said, the Patriots have at no time been double-digit favorites this season and the biggest gap they covered was -7, making it three times. The Patriots finished with -8 favorites against the Texans, the biggest gap of the season, and failed to cover that.

As for the Jaguars, they have been double-digit underdogs three times so far. This will be the fourth time they’ve been in this scenario. The Jags have covered two of the three games as an underdog, against the Bills (+14.5) and Colts (+10.5). Where they failed to cover was annihilation by the Rams, where they finished with 14 points and lost by a score of 37-7. Look, I’m not going out of my way to bet the Jags, but this spread is getting a little out of hand, in my opinion. This initially opened at -15.5, touched -16.5 at one point and has now fallen back to -16. The Patriots should be able to handle this game and get another win under their belt, but I’m not looking to take them on the sidelines.


Best DraftKings Sports Bets Projected total

Arizona Cardinals (+220) vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6.5; -275) Over / Under: 52

Betting trends:
2021 Cardinals road record: 7-1
Road record for the 2021 Cardinals as outsiders: 5-0
2021 Cardinals Record Over / Under: 7-8
2021 Cardinals Over / Under Record as Outsiders: 3-2

2021 Cowboys home record: 5-2
2021 Cowboys home record as favorites: 5-2
2021 Cowboys Record Over / Under: 7-8
Record Over / Under Cowboys 2021 as favorites: 6-5

It’s a game I’m really looking forward to and is one of two games with a set over / under in the 50s. The other game features the Chiefs on the road against the Bengals, who have an over / under of 51. Like most teams, the Cowboys and Cardinals touched the least more often than the top. In fact, only nine times have struck more than 50% of the time this season.

The Cowboys’ defense has been history lately, allowing an average of just 13.3 points in the last three games. That’s all the difference from the 20.5 point average they’ve allowed over the season. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have been completely roasting themselves lately, allowing an average of 27.3 points in the last three games, which is one of the league’s highest during this span. For reference, the football team is in first position with 36.7! The Cardinals have been really burnt in the air lately, allowing eight passing touchdowns in the last three games against the Rams, Lions and Colts. The Cowboys throw the ball early and often, as Dak still made 39 passing attempts in a 56-14 win over the soccer team.

I think it can be argued that this could decrease with the number of injuries the Cardinals face. Of course, they’ll be DeAndre Hopkins’ but the two James Conner ($ 6,100) and Chase Edmonds ($ 5,700) are less than 100%. Conner did not practice and Edmonds did so in a limited fashion. Kyler Murray ($ 7,300) struggled without Hopkins, completing just 59% of his passing attempts in two games without him and two passing touchdowns. He’s also just rushed eight times in total during that span, despite averaging 6.1 per game this season. This Cowboys high school hasn’t allowed more than nine catches to opposing receivers in three straight weeks and one touchdown. I think I would be inclined to take more than 29.5 points (-120) for the Cowboys team total instead of going over the game total.


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This section will showcase some of the best and worst teams against the spread and with the over / under.

Teams against spread:

Top ATS Teams

Team Registration ATS +/-
Team Registration ATS +/-
Dallas Cowboys 12-3 6
Indianapolis Colts 10-5 6.4
Detroit Lions 10-5 0
Tennessee Titans 9-6 2
Arizona Cardinals 9-6 2

The worst ATS teams

Team Registration ATS +/-
Team Registration ATS +/-
Jacksonville Jaguars 4-11 -6.6
Chicago Bear 5-10 -1.9
New York Jets 5-10 -5.3
Carolina Panthers 5-10 -2.9
Washington football team 5-9 -3.1

Plus / minus team records:

Best team on records

Team No more recording Total +/-
Team No more recording Total +/-
Philadelphia Eagles 9-6 0.8
New York Jets 9-6 4.4
Minnesota Vikings 9-6 1.2
The Los Angeles Rams 8-6-1 -0.3
Baltimore Ravens 8-7 0.4

Worst team on records

Team No more recording Total +/-
Team No more recording Total +/-
Denver Broncos 3-12 -6.6
Jacksonville Jaguars 4-11 -5.2
Seattle Seahawks 4-10-1 -6.2
Detroit Lions 5-10 -2.8
New York Giants 5-10 -4.5

Quarterback to build around

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals, $ 6,700 – You can punch holes in a number of different options this week, but the Cowboys are not one of them. As I mentioned earlier, the Cowboys have an over / under 29.5 point total in this planned shootout against the Cardinals. When the Cowboys were favorites this season, he performed extremely well, averaging DKFP 22.4 while averaging only 12% of total ownership. If we break that down even further, those numbers climb to an average of 24.6 DKFP as a home favorite. As mentioned, this Cardinals team is in trouble and the Cowboys have done their part to protect the racing game. Love using it in this game with affordable pay for the game.


Wide receiver to pair it with

CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals, $ 7,100 – Lamb has been a bit calm lately, seeing less than DKFP 15 in straight three-way games. Against the two-time soccer team and the Giants, two favorable clashes, he averages only 12 DKFP despite seeing 24 targets during that span. He managed to turn that into 17 catches for 177 yards (10.4 YPR) but failed to reach the end zone going back to Week 10. That said, it should be a back-and-forth affair. and the volume follows Lamb. Although production was on hiatus, he still averaged 20.7% of the Cowboys’ total goals during that three-game stretch. He will also shoot one of the best games of this game against CB Marco Wilson. In cover, Wilson was targeted against 69 times, allowing for a 72.5% receive rate, 10.5 YPR and seven touchdowns scored against.


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