NHL Picks: Best Bets, DraftKings Fantasy Hockey DFS Cheat Sheet for March 22
Tuesday includes an 11-game NHL slate, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on DraftKings. In this article you will find DFS tips for DraftKings queues, plus a few DraftKings Sportsbook bets to target.
Define your DraftKings fantasy hockey rosters here: Save $65,000 in the NHL [$20K to 1st]
Red Wings puck line (+150)
Detroit brings a 16-12-4 home record to the game, which isn’t good by league standards, but is good compared to the Flyers’ road record. Philadelphia is a miserable 7-16-5 on the road this season and has seen six of its last eight road losses result in two or more goals. Both of these teams lost players at the trade deadline, but the loss of Claude Giroux is arguably the most significant for either team. Detroit’s young core should see this as an opportunity to rack up goals against injured prey. Take them to cover the puck line today.
Moneyline Arizona Coyotes -120
Neither team has a good home or away record this season, but it’s the Coyotes who have shown more life lately. The Coyotes are 4-3 in Arizona in their last seven home games and have had bigger wins against teams like Dallas and Las Vegas. Their attack has improved a lot lately and their likely starter Karel Vejmelka will have a freshly minted contract he will want to show off for. There’s some value in taking the Coyotes on the Moneyline at what’s almost a pick-em type line.
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Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers
Roope Hintz ($6,000) – Joe Pavelski ($6,000) – Jason Robertson ($6,600)
We targeted the Oilers last night and were rewarded with a huge three-goal night from Colorado’s first line. Now the Oilers are at the end of a straight game and face another team with a dominant front line in the Stars.
Hintz, Pavelski and Robertson have been joined at the hip for most of the season and now enter this game with Edmonton with the fourth most goals scored of any NHL line. These three have been slower for fantasy purposes lately, with Hintz the only one of the three to score in the last four games. A home game with Edmonton should help rectify the slump, however, and it’s worth noting that Hintz and Pavelski have been much more productive fantasy players at home this year.
Considering Edmonton’s problems slowing down top talent and Dallas playing in their preferred environment, the salaries of all three players look extremely low today, even despite their recent sluggish games. Taking the salaries below $7,000 on this line is a great way to start things off and will leave you a solid spot in other positions.
Superstar to target
Dylan Larkin, Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers ($6,400)
Much like last night with Brad Marchand against the Canadiens, we’ll be aiming for high value in a great game again today with Dylan Larkin taking on the Philadelphia Flyers. Larkin is still managing well over a point per game on the season (despite being slow in the last 10 games) and should be in a great position to come out of his recent slump. The Flyers just traded one of their oldest players to Claude Giroux and have allowed the fourth-most shots allowed this season and have one of the worst disadvantages in the league.
Larkin has solid positive spreads when playing at home and is averaging 2.4 more DKFP per game when located in Detroit. We’re used to seeing Larkin cost well over $7,000 at these spots early in the season, so being able to nab him for under $6,500 makes him an easy player to build on. Any escape from Detroit likely goes through his stick today.
Alexis Lafrenière, New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils ($2,900)
Rangers have been using Lafrenière more on the top line lately and that has resulted in assists from the second-year winger in three straight games. Even if his exposure on special teams will remain limited, you still have to like his situation to glean a point or more against the Devils today, a team that remains fifth in terms of goals conceded this season. Lafrenière and the Rangers are solid -155 favorites in a game with 6.0 total goals, so grabbing a cheap chunk of their top six is more than justified. He’s been playing better lately and could easily maintain the point streak tonight on a salary under $3,000.
Nick Schmaltz, Arizona Coyotes vs. Seattle Kraken ($5,000)
As for upper-tier values, we shouldn’t hate going back to the pit with Nick Schmaltz there, a player who was priced $700 more expensive than two games ago against Pittsburgh. Schmaltz has been useless for a few starts now – having scored six goals in six games previously – but face Kraken at home today. Seattle ranks in the bottom six in goals against and shorthanded efficiency this year and Schmaltz is now averaging more than a point per game at home this season. Grabbing him as one against a weak defensive team today is a good use of salary.
Igor Shesterkin, New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils ($8,200)
Rangers are likely to start Shesterkin today after giving Alex Georgiev a chance on their last start. Shesterkin hasn’t shown any slack this season and comes into this game with New Jersey averaging 19.1 DKFP over his last 10 games while maintaining a solid road record that includes a save percentage of .934 in 20 starts on the road this season. Rangers are solid -145 favorites today and should be backed after their team added depth at the deadline. He’s again a solid payout option at just over $8,000 and brings his usual 20+ point advantage to this game.
Anton Forsberg, Ottawa Senators vs. New York Islanders ($6,800)
If you want to roll the dice in GPPs and save a ton of money at the goalie, then Forsberg is worth a look today. Forsberg has posted a .929 save percentage in 15 road appearances this season and comes into this game having stopped 28 of 29 shots he faced against Philly in his last outing. The Islanders can be very hit and miss and they’ve scored two or less in two of their last three games. Forsberg is a big underdog, but at under $7,000, he’s worth the risk for high-caliber GPPs, where a win or a big outing would significantly strengthen your roster.
Value on defense
Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg Jets vs. Vegas Golden Knights ($4,400)
The Jets face a Golden Knights team that just lost 3-0 to the Wild last night. Vegas hasn’t been great in any aspect of the game lately and now sits fifth in the bottom in scoring chances allowed this season. The Jets’ defense isn’t exactly a deep team, but lately Josh Morrissey has been upping his game. He’s had two power play points in his last 10 games and also averaged 4.2 blocked shots+ shots on goal per game in the same period.
Morrissey has taken over as the highest scoring option on PP1 for the Jets lately, and it has boosted both his point production and short-range shooting totals. With him available at under $4,500 today, there’s no reason to hesitate to use him as a stand-alone value or as part of a Jets power stack. The Golden Knights have turned into a decent fantasy game and Morrissey looks like solid value today.
Power play defenders
Adam Fox, New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils ($6,900)
The Devils remain a team that we don’t shy away from as an opponent for our day-to-day fantasy hockey goals. New Jersey doesn’t rank highly in a single metric, but they’re not great defensively at anything either and only have a league average penalty-kill. Adam Fox has really upped his game in the second half of the season and enters this game with 12 actual points scored in his last 10 games.
Fox doesn’t bring us the blocked shots or shots on net totals that other elite defenders bring (for fantasy purposes), but his use and production on special teams is nearly unmatched. The Rangers have a strong implied team total of over 3.2 today and have moved up to third in power play efficiency this season. Using Fox as an anchor on your blue line is a great way to expose yourself to the Rangers offense, a unit that feels like they’re in a great spot against a Devils team that allowed 3, 6 goals per game this season.
Define your DraftKings fantasy hockey rosters here: Save $65,000 in the NHL [$20K to 1st]
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