NHL Picks: Best Bets, DraftKings Fantasy Hockey DFS Cheat Sheet for March 8
Just like we did with Columbus yesterday – when we hit the over-2.5 total on the team – we’re going for the over-2.5 total with a mediocre team in Arizona today. The Coyotes’ offense isn’t as explosive or as trustworthy as the Blue Jackets, but lately they’ve been much better. The Coyotes have scored three or more goals in seven of their last nine starts and have just beaten the Senators 8-5. They have an even worse defense in Detroit to beat today. The Red Wings have allowed three or more goals in six of their last seven games and have allowed an average of 5.33 goals in their last five starts. The extra money on Arizona to go over 2.5 seems too juicy to pass on.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Florida Panthers
Sidney Crosby ($7,100) – Bryan Rust ($7,100) – Jake Guentzel ($6,600)
The Penguins and Panthers are two of the best in the Eastern Conference and meet today in what should be a fun game for everyday fantasy hockey purposes. The Panthers offense will likely get a lot of attention, but the Penguins also have one of the best lines in everyday fantasy hockey. The trio of Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust and Jake Guentzel are averaging more than a point per game this season and sticking together for long stretches at even strength and on the power play, making them an ideal top-line to stack up.
The correlation alone makes them an overnight target and today they’ll likely be well underheld given the Penguins are small home underdogs. Florida hasn’t been as good on the road this season, allowing 3.07 goals per game. They also just finished a game last night (a 6-0 thrashing of the helpless Sabers), so fatigue will at least be a small factor.
This is mostly a potential upside and low property potential on a big listing. The Penguins front line have produced over 40.0 DKP twice in their last eight games (online) and there is certainly plenty of opportunity for them today to become one of the most successful trios in the game. the slate. Pittsburgh has played well recently, but is coming off a narrow loss to the Hurricanes. Seeing them rebound at home against another elite Panthers team wouldn’t be shocking today and their top line is likely leading the charge for production purposes in this scenario.
Superstar to target
Patrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks vs. Anaheim Ducks ($6,900)
The slate offers us many big names today, so it’s imperative that when we’re looking to build around us, we go for the best value on the board. Patrick Kane comes into this game averaging 17.6 DKFP over his last 10 games. Kane also averaged just under 4.0 shots on goal per game during the same streak with 15 actual points. He’s also been a great home comeback this season with very positive home shares, including seeing 14 of his 18 goals for the season scored in Chicago.
The Ducks haven’t been anything special defensively lately, allowing 18 goals in their last five games (3.6 average). Anaheim has also been much poorer on the road with a -16 goal differential and allowed more than 35 shots per game on the road this season. Kane under $7,000 is a great way to start rosters and stacking the Blackhawks’ top six one way or another is something you should consider as a contrarian option in the big bucks. GPP.
Nick Schmaltz, Arizona Coyotes to Detroit Red Wings ($4,800)
Nick Schmaltz probably won’t net you seven points in real life like he did on his last outing. Again, he faces the Red Wings, who have allowed an abysmal 5.33 goals per game in their last five starts. The winger has played very well and has as many as nine goals in nine games while playing big minutes on the Arizona first line and PP1. Today’s game, and the fact that Schmaltz is still under $5,000 in salary, means you shouldn’t be afraid to come back to him as a fantastic option.
Jared McCann, Seattle Kraken to Toronto Maple Leafs ($3,900)
The Leafs may have won the game last night, but they needed each of their five goals to achieve that feat. Toronto has now allowed an average of 5.0 goals in its last eight starts, which makes Kraken’s top six extremely cheap forwards look like bargains. McCann’s production may be spotty, but he continues to see big top-six minutes for the Kraken and is averaging 3.3 shots on net per game in his last 10 starts. McCann has already hit the 20-goal mark this season and is a solid upside target at just $4,000 at that spot.
Jake Oettinger, Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators ($7,600)
With a huge 11-game roster today, there are plenty of cheap goalie options we should be looking at for roster construction. We’ll start with Jake Oettinger, who has averaged 19.4 DKFP per game in his last 10 starts and has a .943 save percentage in eight starts on the road this season. Oettinger and the Stars are small +110 underdogs on the road today, but Oettinger is still a good upside target in the big fields, where Nashville’s recent offensive surge will likely mean most fantasy players will hesitate. to use it.
Igor Shesterkin, New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild ($7,400)
Another small underdog to watch today is Rangers’ Igor Shesterkin. Despite being one of the Vezina Trophy leaders, we continually see Shesterkin available for less than $8,000 on DraftKings, and today it’s available for less than $7,500. The Wild’s offense is dangerous, but Shesterkin is now 12-4-1 on the road this season with a .941 save percentage. Minnesota hasn’t been playing well lately, and if Shesterkin thwarts that attack, we’ll likely see over 35 saves and a massive fantasy performance that you’ll need to have a chance at big money. He’s another favorite big-tournament value target on DraftKings today.
Value on defense
Mikhail Sergachev, Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets ($4,800)
There are plenty of defensive picks today as we head into under $6,000 and we can probably make both of our defensive picks into higher tier values. Sergachev has certainly stepped up as a fantastic player and option in 2022. The Russian has really come into his own in the last 10 games where he averaged over 23 minutes of ice time and also produced a big 4.9 blocked shots + shots on goal.
A prolonged goalscoring drought was finally broken by Sergachev recently and he has now found the net three times in his last four games. An important indicator of his quality of play is the fact that most of his offense has come at even strength (only six of his 31 points have come on the power play). We’re not too reliant on special teams for Sergachev to produce and he has a decent matchup with the Jets, who have allowed 3.8 goals per game in their last five starts. Start with some value on defense today by targeting the best player under $5,000 at his position.
Power play defenders
Devon Toews, Colorado Avalanche vs. New Jersey Devils ($5,600)
As mentioned above, we can easily find two stallions under $6,000 today, which will really keep our costs down. Toews sits well below that benchmark and has been arguably the best fantasy producer on the backend for the Avs in recent times. Toews has produced at a points-per-game rate in his last 10 starts and is averaging a decent 4.1 blocked shots + shots on base in the same span.
Toews’ main draw, however, is his attacking advantage and he’s shown it in spades recently, scoring three goals in his last four games. The game against the Devils couldn’t have been better either. New Jersey’s goaltenders have been some of the worst in the league so far and Colorado finds itself with an implied team total of well over 4.0 goals today. Keeping it simple on defense and going with the two well-priced studs, elite teams, in Toews and Sergachev is a great way to round out rosters today.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may occasionally play on my personal account in the games I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views of DraftKings and are not a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment to create queues. I can also deploy different players and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, you can access crisis counseling and referral services by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (NT), or 1-888-532-3500 (VIRGINIA).
21+ (18+ NH/WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. To see draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.