NHL Picks: Best Bets, DraftKings Fantasy Hockey DFS Cheat Sheet for March 1
Tuesday includes a nine-game NHL slate, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on DraftKings. In this article you will find DFS tips for DraftKings queues, plus a few DraftKings Sportsbook bets to target.
Define your DraftKings fantasy hockey rosters here: NHL $100,000 Tuesday Twenty [$20K to 1st]
Montreal Canadiens Moneyline +185
If you’ve read my articles lately, you know I’ve been keeping tabs on the Habs streak lately, and after another win over the Senators on Saturday, there’s no reason to be afraid of them. today against the Jets. Winnipeg ended a four-game losing streak with a win over Arizona on Sunday, but hasn’t been a strong home team this season. They slipped below the league average in expected goal rate and allowed the ninth-highest scoring chance. The Canadians have finally found a solid goaltender in Sam Montembeault, who has stopped 92 of his last 96 shots faced, and still looks a solid value at a big +185 odds.
Minnesota Wild Moneyline -115
The Minnesota Wild are 16-4-1 in 21 home starts this season, so every time the finance line gets closer to a tie, the Wild kind of becomes instant value at home. The reason it’s even close — with Minnesota as the slight favorite — is of course because they face the Flames, who beat them 7-3 in the last game. This game was made more lopsided than it was with two goals into an empty net. Minnesota have crumbled lately (five losses in six games) but at home against a big rival (who’s been playing a lot lately) it’s a good place to support them.
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Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames
Ryan Hartman ($5,000) – Kirill Kaprizov ($7,500) – Mats Zuccarello ($5,500)
The Wild lost a 7-3 game in Calgary two days ago, but they managed to beat Jacob Markstrom on just 25 shots and should be ready to try and get out of the gates faster in the rematch. The Wild’s forwards have all been much better fantasy lineups at home this season with Kirill Kaprizov leading the way in that regard. Kaprizov is averaging 1.5 actual points per game at home and 19.5 DKFP per game in 20 home starts. While the Wild’s front line has calmed down a bit lately, Kaprizov had five shots and a goal against Calgary in their first meeting and looks like a solid roster under $8,000.
If we like Kaprizov, we almost certainly have to pair him with Mats Zuccarello these days, who skates alongside the Russian at even strength and on the power play. Zuccarello has become a more than one point per game player this season, and one of the most modest. Like Kaprizov, he has been much more productive at home, averaging 15.2 DKFP at home compared to just 9.8 on the road. Finishing the stack with center Joel Eriksson Ek is also an easy decision. Like Zucarrello, Ek is undervalued for fantasy purposes given his role in the power play (10 of his 16 goals this season have come with the man advantage) and he’s even taken on the duties front-line officials at the moment in the center.
Calgary is a tough test, but the Wild have scored against everyone this season (5th most goals this season) and their top line seemed to be just getting started in the most recent meeting between these two teams.
Superstar to target
Connor McDavid, Edmonton Oilers and Philadelphia Flyers ($8,900)
There’s a lot of offensive firepower to choose from today, but I don’t mind getting to the top of the board and seeing if we can get some breakthrough play from the best in the world. Connor McDavid has looked set to burst with such a game lately, as he’s now had multiple points in three of his last five starts. McDavid’s also started shooting later (45 shots in its last 10 games), a trend that caused its torrid start to the season.
The Oilers are entrenched in a dogfight for the final playoff spots in the West right now and have been involved in close games with two Eastern Conference powerhouses in their last two starts. Now they get the weaker Flyers and have no time to stop. Expect a big game from McDavid there, who torched the Flyers for 31.5 DKFP in a loss in the first month of the season.
Brendan Gallagher, Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets ($3,400)
The Canadiens’ first line has done them a lot of damage lately on the scoreboard, but there’s still some potential value lurking on their second line. Brendan Gallagher has regressed this season from a goalscoring perspective, but mostly out of necessity, he is still entrenched in a top-six role and has also been catching PP1 ice recently.
That hasn’t translated to many goals lately, but Gallagher has had four or more shots on net in two of his last three games and faces a Jets team that has featured some of the worst special teams this season. Gallagher went scoreless for more than 10 games, but his efforts should soon pay off, and at under $3,500 today, he’s a solid value with the entire Canadiens squad looking good again. respectable.
Sam Montembeault, Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets ($7,000)
We have a pretty broad roster with big top lines and studs like McDavid (see above) who are in for great matchups. What better way to save money than to go down to goalie and roll with a player in Sam Montembeault, who has worked his way into the number one position for the Canadiens. Montembeault has now made five starts since Feb. 10 and has seen 32 or more shots against in all but one of those appearances.
The Canadiens are still allowing plenty of shots on net, but Montembeault has simply been up to the task and now gets a Jets team that barely cringed against the Coyotes in their last game to snap a four-game losing streak. Winnipeg has fallen below the league average in goals per game and is up against a Montreal team that is playing without pressure, given that its playoff dreams are already in vain. Montembeault certainly comes with more risk, but it’s worth it considering the $7,000 fixed salary and the different directions these two teams are heading.
Value on defense
Tyson Barrie, Edmonton Oilers vs. Philadelphia Flyers ($4,400)
Barrie has struggled this season after being rewarded with a big contract. The offensive specialist has started to play more on the PP1 again lately and he has collected four assists in his last four games, including three on the power play. He’s started to look more like last season’s player who was reaching almost uncontrollable levels with Connor McDavid, and the two are getting a great game tonight to capitalize on.
Philadelphia has the sixth-worst penalties in the league and allows 33.5 shots on net per game, also the worst in the league. Barrie is actually rated at his highest point in more than 10 games today, but considering the game, it seems like a good chance to take a chance on him. He has just as much (or more) upside right now than the other offensive D-men around him in this lineup and one of the juiciest matchups on the slate.
Power play defenders
Cale Makar, Colorado Avalanche vs. New York Islanders ($6,600)
The Islanders have been busy lately and will be playing their third game in four nights after returning to the West Coast. The train of easier opponents ends today for the Islanders, who get an Avalanche team that is 22-3-2 at home this season with a plus-54 goal differential. Cale Makar may come into this game scoreless in 10-plus starts, but he’s managed to average more than a point per game during this streak (12 assists).
Makar’s offensive abilities make him a good target every night in DFS, but his scoreless drought has also made him better value lately for everyday fantasy hockey. It will only be the sixth time in over 30 games that he’s gone under $7,000 on DraftKings and now gets a weary Islanders squad to potentially break a boring streak against. With Colorado having an implied team total of nearly 4.0 (and being -290 home favorites), you’ll want to be exposed to some of their offense, and paying for Makar at the back ensures you get some. get a solid share.
Define your DraftKings fantasy hockey rosters here: NHL $100,000 Tuesday Twenty [$20K to 1st]
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