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It’s week 6 and that means “goodbye weeks†are a part of our lives. The Falcons, Saints, Jets and 49ers are taking the week off. Let’s take a look at what’s going on in the rest of the league from a betting and daily fantasy standpoint.
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Largest DraftKings Sportsbook Favorite moneyline
The Los Angeles Rams (-10; -450) to New York Giants (+340)
Betting trends:
Rams road record 2021: 2-0
Rams road record 2021 when favored: 2-0
Rams ATS Record 2021: 3-2
Rams 2021 ATS record when favored: 2-2
2021 Giants home record: 0-2
Giants 2021 home record as underdogs: 0-1
Giants 2021 ATS Record: 2-3
Giants 2021 ATS record as underdogs: 2-2
The Rams and Colts (-10; -450) are the biggest favorites on this slate but it’s the Rams that intrigue me the most. The Giants are the walking injuries that come into this game, with a number of players injured and not playing. Daniel Jones ($ 5,500) did not train on Wednesday but is “on track” to enter the field on Sunday. Unfortunately, he’s going to have a different cast of players surrounding him. Saquon Barkley ($ 6,800) and Kenny Golladay ($ 5,700) is doubtful while Sterling Shepard ($ 5,000) and Darius Slayton ($ 3,800) is questionable. With that, they’ll have a hard time trying to hang on with a Rams team averaging 28.2 points per game, which is the 8th best average in the league. The Giants, meanwhile, are allowing 27.8 points per game, which is the 7th highest score in the league.
Matthew Stafford ($ 6,700) continues to experience a resurgence in his career, coming off another 20+ DKFP performance against the Seahawks. Although he only threw one touchdown, he completed 67.6% of his passes for 365 yards averaging 10 yards per attempt. He should benefit more from this success against the Giants, who are allowing an average of 23.7 DKFP and 276 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. While Stafford mainly focused on Cooper Kupp ($ 7,900), Robert Woods ($ 6,100) saw 14 targets, making 12 catches for 150 yards last week. Coach Sean McVay said he wanted to get Woods more involved and he certainly did. Both receivers will draw extremely favorable matches, with Kupp drawing CB Julian Love on the cover and Woods seeing CB James Bradberry. Bradberry in particular was poor in coverage, allowing a 74.2% completion rate on 31 targets for 301 yards and an average of 13.1 YPR. It’s a great place for the Rams’ offense and the property will reflect that.
Other notable favorites: Houston Texans (+350) To Indianapolis Colts (-10; -450)
Best DraftKings Sports Bets Projected total
Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5; -300) to Washington football team(+235) Over / Under: 54.5
Betting trends:
2021 Chiefs road record: 1-1
Chiefs 2021 road record as favorites: 1-1
2021 Chiefs Record Over / Under: 4-1
2021 Chiefs Record Over / Under as favorites: 4-1
Home record of the 2021 football team: 1-2
Home record of the 2021 football team as outsiders: 0-1
2021 Football Team Record Over / Under: 4-1
2021 football team record Over / Under as underdogs: 2-0
This game is going to have a LOT of points.
Currently in the NFL, we have five teams averaging over 30 points per game. The top two teams are in this game, along with the Chiefs (32.6) and the soccer team (31). The biggest shock really is the football team, which were supposed to be one of the best defenses in the league, like they were last season. Instead, they allowed a total of 155 points, which is second in the league behind, you guessed it, the Chiefs at 163. While these teams allow a ton of points, they have marginal separation. on average. points per match scored. The Chiefs round out the top five at 30.8 while the soccer team falls to 12th place with 24.6.
This will be one of the most popular games to stack, as the total is more than three points higher than any other game on the board. Some of the main offensive players on both sides are also in some incredible clashes. Terry McLaurin ($ 7,100) faces CB Mike Hughes, who allows 11.8 YPR and three touchdowns scored against. The Chiefs have used S Karmen Curl in the cover, mainly the lunge, which is where Tyreek Hill ($ 8,500) played 47% of their snaps. Then you can also get extreme value on Ricky Seals-Jones ($ 3,000) who played 98% of the snaps last week with Logan Thomas on IR. Seals-Jones saw three of the nine red zone targets he received at the $ 2,500 minimum stone. His salary has only jumped $ 500 and he will stay in the starting role against a team allowing 18.5 DKFP, 93.2 receiving yards and two touchdowns at the post. Finally, the running back position is also to be taken into account with Antonio Gibson ($ 6,500) and the Chiefs’ new starter in Darrell Williams ($ 4,900) succeeding Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who landed on the IR.
Another notable total: Los Angeles Chargers (+120) to Baltimore Ravens (-2.5; -140) O / U 51
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This section will showcase some of the best and worst teams against the spread and with the over / under.
Teams against spread:
Top ATS Teams
| Team | Save | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | Save | ATS +/- |
| Arizona Cardinals | 5-0 | 10.1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4-1 | ten |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4-1 | 5.3 |
| The Los Angeles Rams | 4-1 | 1.3 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4-1 | -4.5 |
The worst ATS teams
| Team | Save | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | Save | ATS +/- |
| Detroit Lions | 0-5 | 0.3 |
| New York Giants | 1-4 | -3.3 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1-4 | 0.3 |
| Houston Texans | 1-4 | -0.1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2-3 | -6.9 |
Higher / lower team records:
Best team on records
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
| Washington football team | 4-1 | 11.1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4-1 | 4.7 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4-1 | 8.5 |
| The Los Angeles Rams | 4-1 | 0.2 |
| New York Giants | 3-2 | 3.3 |
Worst team on records
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
| Denver Broncos | 1-4 | -6.9 |
| Chicago Bear | 1-4 | -7.8 |
| New England Patriots | 1-4 | -5.9 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1-4 | -3.3 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1-4 | 0.8 |
Target report
| Player | Team | Opponent of the week 5 | Avg. TPG | Average YPT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Opponent of the week 5 | Avg. TPG | Average YPT |
| Davante Adams | FR | CHI | 12.2 | 9.5 |
| Cooper Kupp | LAR | NYG | 11.2 | 9.3 |
| Keenan Allen | LAKE | BALL | 10.6 | 7 |
| Mike williams | LAKE | BALL | 10.2 | 9.2 |
| Tyreek Hill | KC | WAS | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Dj moore | CIN | MIN | ten | 8.8 |
| Terry mclaurin | WAS | KC | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| Jakobi Meyers | BORN | DAL | 9.2 | 6.6 |
| Justin jefferson | MIN | CIN | 9 | 10.3 |
Quarterback to build around
Matt Stafford, Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants, $ 6,700 – Much attention will be paid to the most expensive quarterbacks on this slate, and rightly so. Having said that, I have absolutely no problem going down a bit for Stafford against the Giants. Game-wise, this one can’t be much better for the Rams, who are -10 favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Giants have allowed an average of 23.7 DKFP, 276 passing yards and 10 pitching touchdowns so far. The Rams play at the fastest pace in the league while passing the ball 58 percent of the time. The Giants’ pass rush is also ranked near the bottom of the league, which will give Stafford a clean pocket to work in. When that happens, which he has over 75% of his losses, he has a 74% completion rate, 9.1 YPA, and eight of 12 touchdowns he’s thrown.
Player Accessories for Matt Stafford on DraftKings Sportsbook:
Pass Yards: 283.5 (over -115 under -115)
Passing TDs: 2.5 (over +155 under -215)
Longest completion: 37.5 (over -120 under -110)
Wide receiver to pair it with
Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams v New York Giants, $ 7,900 – Now the hardest question is who to pair with Stafford. Robert Woods ($ 6,100) is $ 1,800 cheaper and saw 14 targets last week, in which he turned that into 12 receptions for 150 yards and 30 DKFP. Kupp was still very involved and caught seven of his 10 targets for 92 yards but none reached the end zone. To be honest, I don’t hate using both players. Ultimately, I prefer Kupp in the slot against CB Julian Love. Love has been targeted seven times so far and has allowed five receptions for 61 yards, averaging 12.2 YPR. Love really struggled last season with the Giants, allowing 20 receptions on 28 targets for a total of 302 yards, or 15.1 YPR. Regardless of who Kupp lines up opposite, this Giants secondary is extremely beatable.
Player Accessories for Cooper Kupp on DraftKings Sportsbook:
Reception price: 82.5 (over -115 under -115)
Longest receptions: 25.5 (over -110 under -120)
TD Marker: First +550 Last +550 Anytime -140
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